Monday, December 1, 2008

Esoteric NHL Attendance Breakdown

There has been talk about the NHL attendance and how it will relate to the upcoming seasons. We have been breaking down attendance numbers here at the esoteric for some time.

When working with numbers and stats, trends just seem to jump out at you. For example, when I do the "On Pace For" stats it appears that a good point number this year will be in the 55 point range. With the attendance, the number of 2,000 empty seats stood out. One of the issues is that no two arenas are the same. What we believe is that by setting a quantifiable seat amount as opposed to a percentage shows the overall state of a given hockey market. If a community wanted 20,000 seats as opposed to 13,000 then that is their problem they never get sell outs. Lastly, it is after all just a gauge of how well things are going.

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THE ATTENDANCE ESOTERIC
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Last night, there were 2 out of 4 games played with more than 2,000 empty
seats, or 50.0%.
Out of 349 games played, there have been 96 played with MORE than 2,000
empty seats, or 27.5% of all games played.
There have been 26 east vs. west games out of 91 played on this list, for a
28.6%.
There have been 23 divisional games played on this list, or 6.6%.
There have been 31 games played at less than 75% capacity, or 8.9%.
Out of 96 games, the Islanders appear 8 times on this list, or 8.3% and 2.3%
out of 349 games.
** = new statistic.

Team leaders at more than 2,000 HOME empty seat games (91):
11- Atlanta, Carolina.
10 - Tampa Bay, Phoenix.
9 - Columbus.
8 - New Jersey, Nashville, NY Islanders.
7 - Los Angeles, Florida.
6 -
5 - Colorado.
4 -
3 -
2 - Boston.
1 -

Team leaders at less than 75% capacity games (31):
5 - Atlanta.
4 - Tampa Bay, NY Islanders, Columbus, Carolina, Florida.
3 - New Jersey.
2 - Nashville.
1 - Los Angeles.

Team leaders at more than 2,000 TOTAL (home and away) empty seat games
(182):
16 - Carolina.
15 -
14 - Atlanta,
13 - Columbus, Tampa Bay, Florida, Phoenix.
12 - Nashville.
11 - New Jersey, NY Islanders.
10 -
9 -
8 - Los Angeles.
7 - Colorado.
6 - Minnesota, San Jose, Edmonton.
5 - Dallas, Ottawa.
4 - Philadelphia, Calgary.
3 - Anaheim, Vancouver, Toronto, Buffalo, St. Louis.
2 - Montreal, Washington, Boston, Chicago, Pittsburgh, NY Ranjerks.
1 -
0 - Detroit.

smallest crowd:
15. 10/23 - I-Dallas @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 10,183 = 6,051 = 62.7%.
lowest % of attendance:
41. 11/2 - D-Florida @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 10,584 = 7,961 = 57.1%.

Here are all the games played with MORE than 2,000 empty seats.
96. 11/30 - I-Anaheim @ Carolina - 18,639 - 14,191 = 4,448 = 76.1%.
95. 11/30 - I-St. Louis @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 14,078 = 4,467 = 75.9%.
94. 11/29 - D-San Jose @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 14,007 = 3,792 = 78.7%.
93. 11/29 - Minnesota @ Nashville - 17,113 - 13,990 = 3,123 = 81.8%.
92. 11/29 - Ottawa @ NY Islanders - 16,24 - 13,108 = 3,126 = 80.7%.
91. 11/28 - Colorado @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 14,031 = 3,768 = 78.8%.
90. 11/28 - I-Nashville @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 15,022 = 3,523 = 81.0%.
89. 11/26 - St. Louis Blues @ Colorado - 18,007 - 14,568 = 3,439 = 80.9%.
88. 11/26 - NY Ranjerks @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 16,991 = 2,767 = 86.0%.
87. 11/26 - New jersey @ Florida - 19,250 - 14,932 = 4,318 = 77.6%.
86. 11/26 - Philadelphia @ Carolina - 18,639 - 15,057 = 3,582 = 80.8%.
85. 11/26 - Phoenix @ Columbus - 18,144 - 14,569 = 3,575 = 80.3%.
84. 11/25 - D-St. Louis @ Nashville - 17,113 - 13,825 = 3,288 = 80.8%.
83. 11/24 - D-Carolina @ Florida - 19,250 - 11,117 = 8,133 = 57.8%.
82. 11/23 - New Jersey @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 14,222 = 5,536 = 72.0%.
81. 11/23 - I-Nashville @ Carolina - 18,639 - 13,042 = 5,597 = 70.0%.
80. 11/22 - I-Columbus @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 15,561 = 2,984 = 83.9%.
79. 11/21 - I-Nashville @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 16,444 = 3,314 = 83.2%.
78. 11/21 - I-Phoenix @ Carolina - 18,639 - 14,848 = 3,791 = 79.7%.
77. 11/20 - D-Calgary @ Colorado - 18,007 - 14,536 = 3,471 = 80.7%.
76. 11/20 - Pittsburgh @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 13,391 = 5,154 = 72.2%.
75. 11/20 - Florida @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 14,291 = 3,334 = 81.1%.
74. 11/18 - Chicago @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 14,682 = 3,117 = 82.5%.
73. 11/18 - D-Florida @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 16,176 = 3,582 = 81.9%.
72. 11/18 - Montreal @ Carolina - 18,639 - 12,164 = 6,475 = 65.3%.
71. 11/18 - Edmonton @ Columbus - 18,144 - 12,689 = 5,455 = 70.0%.
70. 11/17 - I-Vancouver @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 11,299 = 4,935 = 69.6%.
69. 11/17 - San Jose @ Nashville - 17,113 - 13,312 = 3,801 = 77.8%.
68. 11/16 - D-Tampa Bay @ Carolina - 18,639 - 13,781 = 4,858 = 73.9%.
67. 11/15 - Nashville @ Los Angeles - 18,118 - 14,135 = 3,983 = 78.0%.
66. 11/15 - D-Dallas @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 15,508 = 2,291 = 87.1%.
65. 11/15 - Ottawa @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 13,722 = 2,512 = 84.5%.
64. 11/14 - D-Carolina @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 16,128 = 2,417 = 87.0%.
63. 11/12 - D-Washington @ Carolina - 18,639 - 14,261 = 4,378 = 76.5%.
62. 11/12 - Phoenix @ Columbus - 18,144 - 11,350 = 6,794 = 62.6%.
61. 11/12 - D-Tampa Bay @ Florida - 19,250 - 12,104 = 7,146 = 62.9%.
60. 11/11 - D-Dallas @ Los Angeles - 18,118 - 13,823 = 4,295 = 76.3%.
59. 11/11 - D-Philadelphia @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 13,447 = 2,787 = 82.8%.
58. 11/09 - D-Atlanta @ Carolina - 18,639 - 12,398 = 6,241 = 66.5%.
57. 11/09 - D-San Jose @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 15,056 = 2,743 = 83.7%.
56. 11/09 - I-Edmonton @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 14,193 = 3,432 = 80.5%.
55. 11/08 - Calgary @ Columbus - 18,144 - 14,088 = 4,056 = 77.7%.
54. 11/08 - I-Florida @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 14,807 = 3,192 = 83.2%.
53. 11/07 - Ottawa @ Carolina - 18,639 - 15,206 = 3,433 = 81.6%.
52. 11/07 - I-Montreal @ Columbus - 18,144 - 14,603 = 3,541 = 80.5%.
51. 11/06 - I-Florida @ Los Angeles - 18,118 - 11,267 = 6,851 = 69.9%.
50. 11/06 - D-Minnesota @ Colorado - 18,007 - 14,562 = 3,445 = 80.9%.
49. 11/06 - D-Toronto @ Boston - 17,565 - 15,391 = 2,174 = 87.6%.
48. 11/06 - NY Islanders @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 14,122 = 4,423 = 76.2%.
47. 11/05 - Edmonton @ Columbus - 18,144 - 11,228 = 6,916 = 61.9%.
46. 11/05 - Tampa Bay @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 11,619 = 6,006 = 65.9%.
45. 11/04 - D-Anaheim @ Los Angeles - 18,118 - 14,327 = 3,791 = 79.1%.
44. 11/3 - Buffalo @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 10,567 = 7,058 = 60.0%.
43. 11/3 - I-Columbus @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 10,184 = 6,050 = 62.7%.
42. 11/2 - San Jose @ Colorado - 18,007 - 15,452 = 2,555 = 85.8%.
41. 11/2 - Toronto @ Carolina - 18,639 - 15,635 = 3,004 = 83.9%.
40. 11/2 - D-Florida @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 10,584 = 7,961 = 57.1%.
39. 11/1 - Ottawa @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 16,104 = 3,654 = 81.5%.
38. 11/1 - I-Florida @ Nashville - 17,113 - 14,909 = 2,204 = 87.1%.
37. 11/1 - Minnesota @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 14,817 = 2,982 = 83.3%.
36. 11/1 - Atlanta @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 14,958 = 2,667 = 84.9%.
35. 11/1 - D-Chicago @ Columbus - 18,144 - 14,680 = 3,464 = 80.9%.
34. 11/1 - I-Dallas @ Boston - 17,565 - 14,576 = 2,989 = 83.0%.
33. 11/1 - I-Edmonton @ Carolina - 18,639 - 15,016 = 3,623 = 80.6%.
32. 10/30 - Vancouver @ Los Angeles - 18,118 - 13,652 = 4,466 = 75.4%.
31. 10/30 - I-Pittsburgh @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 15,178 = 2,621 = 85.3%.
30. 10/30 - Ottawa @ Florida - 19,250 - 13,567 = 5,683 = 70.5%.
29. 10/30 - Edmonton @ Nashville - 17,113 - 11,294 = 5,819 = 66.0%.
28. 10/29 - Toronto @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 14,119 = 3,506 = 80.1%.
27. 10/28 - Philadelphia @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 13,207 = 5,338 = 71.2%.
26. 10/27 - Anaheim @ Columbus - 18,144 - 10,494 = 7,650 = 57.8%.
25. 10/26 - Calgary @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 15,038 = 2,761 = 84.5%.
24. 10/26 - Los Angeles @ Nashville - 17,113 - 14,704 = 2,409 = 85.9%.
23. 10/26 - I-San Jose @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 16,831 = 2,927 = 85.2%.
22. 10/26 - Carolina @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 11,219 = 5,015 = 69.1%.
21. 10/24 - I-San Jose @ Florida - 19,250 - 15,232 = 4,018 = 79.1%.
20. 10/24 - D-Philadelphia @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 15,529 = 2,096 = 88.1%.
19. 10/24 - I-NY Ranjerks @ Columbus - 18,144 - 14,724 = 3,420 = 81.2%.
18. 10/23 - I-Washington @ Phoenix - 17,799 - 14,722 = 3,077 = 82.7%.
17. 10/23 - D-Edmonton @ Colorado - 18,007 - 14,898 = 3,109 = 82.7%.
16. 10/23 - Calgary @ Nashville - 17,113 - 12,042 = 5,071 = 70.4%.
15. 10/23 - I-Dallas @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 10,183 = 6,051 = 62.7%.
14. 10/22 - I-Dallas @ New Jersey - 17,625 - 12,101 = 5,524 = 68.7%.
13. 10/21 - D-Atlanta @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 13,922 = 5,836 = 70.5%.
12. 10/21 - Vancouver @ Columbus - 18,144 - 12,057 = 6,087 = 66.5%.
11. 10/20 - Colorado @ Los Angeles - 18,118 - 13,891 = 4,227 = 76.7%.
10. 10/18 - D-Columbus @ Nashville - 17,113 - 13,259 = 3,854 = 77.5%.
9. 10/18 - I-Minnesota @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 15,191 = 4,567 = 76.9%.
8. 10/18 - Buffalo @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 14,091 = 4,454 = 76.0%.
7. 10/18 - NY Islanders @ Florida - 19,250 - 16,087 = 3,163 = 83.6%.
6. 10/17 - I-Carolina @ Los Angeles - 18,118 - 14,194 = 3,924 = 78.3%.
5. 10/16 - NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay - 19,758 - 14,420 = 5,338 = 73.0%.
4. 10/16 - I-Minnesota @ Florida - 19,250 - 12,106 = 7,144 = 62.9%.
3. 10/16 - New Jersey @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 11,293 = 7,252 = 60.9%.
2. 10/14 - I-Minnesota @ Atlanta - 18,545 - 11,843 = 6,702 = 63.9%.
1. 10/13 - Buffalo @ NY Islanders - 16,234 - 13,523 = 2,711 = 83.3%.

Arena Capacities:
Anaheim - 17,174, Atlanta - 18,545, Boston - 17,565, Buffalo - 18,690,
Calgary - 19,289, Carolina - 18,639, Chicago - 20,500, Colorado - 18,007,
Columbus - 18,144, Dallas - 18,532, Detroit - 20,066, Edmonton - 16,839,
Florida - 19,250, Los Angeles - 18,118, Minnesota - 18,064, Montreal -
21,273, Nashville - 17,113, New Jersey - 17,625, NY Islanders - 16,234, NY
Rangers - 18,200, Ottawa - 19,153, Philadelphia - 19,536, Phoenix - 17,799,
Pittsburgh - 16,940, San Jose -17,496, St. Louis - 19,022, Tampa Bay -
19,758, Toronto - 18,819, Vancouver - 18,630, Washington - 18,277.

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